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« Precious Metals BREAKTHROUGH Takes Down GLD! | Main | Western World Finance Is In Deep Trouble »
Monday
Jul162012

James Turk - Summer Doldrums Over, Gold & Silver To Explode

 

With volatility in global markets, today King World News interviewed James Turk out of Europe. Turk told KWN, “The financial, monetary and economic conditions are so bad ... that everything will spin out of control.”  He also warned, “There is a new factor at work that is about to light a fire under the precious metals that few people recognize - food inflation.”  He went on to say, “We can expect a rally from here that will take our breath away.”  

James Turk continues:

But this is no time for complacency.  The financial, monetary and economic conditions are so bad, that the situation could spin out of control at any second.  Because these problems are not being solved, the point is that everything will spin out of control.  

When that happens - as you and I have mentioned many times to the KWN audience around the globe - the best way to protect yourself and your family is with tangible assets....

Here is what Turk had to say about what is happening:  “The sentiment indicators for gold and silver have been exceptionally low for weeks now, Eric, which is understandable given their lackluster performance during this period, as well as the downright discouraging performance of the mining shares.

In other words, anything real.  That could include farmland, timberland, your house, an oil well or any other tangible asset.  And the most liquid of these are gold and silver, which of course is why they have been used as money for thousands of years.

The latest important news is that Moody's just downgraded Italy's debt again.  This downtrend in the quality of its debt is ominous, and one has to wonder why anyone would own any Italian debt.  Italian government debt is now 8 notches from the highest credit rating and just 2 notches above junk.  And total Italian government debt is now approaching EUR 2 trillion. 

Think about that for a moment, Eric.  This debt mountain is only 2 notches above junk.  Consider all the banks, central banks, pension plans and other institutional investors that own this debt.  What are they going to do if the Italian economy - like most of Europe - continues heading lower, making repayment of the debt difficult if not impossible?  What are they going to do if this debt is eventually downgraded again to junk?

The European banks own a lot of Italian government debt.  The ECB also owns a lot too, either outright or as collateral, which the ECB unbelievably accepts this paper at 100% face value.  

So here is what is going on in Europe.  An Italian bank loses deposits because of the silent bank runs that are underway.  Also, no other banks are willing to lend to it because of the uncertain quality of its loan book.  The Italian bank then uses the Italian bonds it owns, as collateral, to borrow, from the ECB, the euros it needs to replace the deposits it lost.  

So instead of the euro being backed by quality borrowers, more and more backing is coming from paper from over-leveraged governments like Italy, whose paper Moody's is telling us is declining in value and near junk.  Because of the accounting involved, this insidious process is hidden from anyone who doesn't understand bank balance sheets.  

But there is a simple analogy, it is nothing more than clipping coins, just like kings and Roman emperors used to do.  This modern clipping is harder to detect because a euro looks the same and the clipping comes from the accounting sleight of hand, but it is clipping nonetheless.  The content - the quality - of the euro is eroding. 

The key point, Eric, is that all fiat currency is being clipped to some extent, so it is dangerous to be in any kind of paper.  The big risk here is not owning any physical metal.”

To read this article in full please click here and you will be taken to Eric Kings website, also try and find the time to drop in there when you can, it is full of interesting 'takes' on the current situation.

Regarding www.skoptionstrading.com. We recently closed a trade involving the S&P which generated a profit of 25.61% and was opened just 8 days ago, the charts and stats have now been updated.

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The 2011 Annual Report by be accessed via this link.

Also many thanks to those of you who have already joined us and for the very kind words that you sent us regarding the service so far, we hope that we can continue to put a smile on your faces.

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Reader Comments (1)

I like reading the thoughts of James Turk and I agree with his analysis. The problem is every time he makes a prediction about a move in gold or silver the exact opposite seems to occur .I remember him predicting siver to be $70 by March and we all know what happened to that one .

July 17, 2012 | Unregistered Commentersilver bug

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