The fundamentals for the precious metals are weak. This has been highlighted in recent weeks by the lack of a major rally in gold and the losses in silver despite a spike in volatility to its highest since 2011. Improving economic data, the tapering of QE, and discussion of when the first rate hike will be have resulted in heavy losses over the past two years in the precious metals, and are to blame for the poor performance in the recent risk off market conditions stemming from the Ebola fears.
These overwhelmingly bearish fundamentals are the reason that we have taken short positions on the precious metals sector and why we intend to continue to do so. However, while both gold and silver offer attractive levels for new shorts, which metal holds the better risk reward dynamics in the current market situation? To answer this we must consider how each metal behaves and performs during both risk off and on conditions, as well as their current technical situations.