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Coeur d’Alene Mines Corp: Price drop


The threat of terrorist action today caused silver prices and gold prices to drop taking Coeur down 4% to $5.21, do you sell or buy?

We think that this is a market aberration and when this terror threat is better understood and the reality of it sinks in, precious metals will move up in a big way.

So, based on that premise we bought CDE for $5.21 with the intention being, to make a short term gain. The downside is that if we are wrong and are left with a few more Coeur shares than we had yesterday. This is not a problem for us as we intend to keep adding this stock to our portfolio as and when we can.

However, the gambler in us does want to win!

10 August 2006

Chinese Silver usage in decline? Think again

In a recent article in ‘The China Daily’ it was reported that China is using 3 times more silver than it was 20 years ago.


Chinese Silver Coin.

The China Daily was commenting on a report by the Gemmological Association of China, who said China had increased usage from 900 tons in 1985 to 2600 tons in 2005.

The report goes on to say that regardless of the roller coater ride in silver prices the demands for silver continues to grow at a steady pace.

So, when the talking heads pop up on TV and tell you that it is all about to slow down in China, beware! Do some research of your own if you have the time. After all it’s your hard earned cash that you, yes you, are investing.

Relax into this bull market, keep your cool, look at the big picture, implement your investment plan and stick with it.


Chinese Silver Dragon

08 August 2006

Coeur d’Alene Mines Corp: Wins legal battle

This is an excellent outcome for Coeur as it allows the construction of their mining project at Kensington to re-commence. Coeur intend to invest around $100 million and are creating over 300 jobs in that area.

The challenge against Coeur was based on the possibility that the Corps of Engineers had issued the permit to Coeur Alaska, incorrectly. The Sierra Club, the Southeast Alaska Conservation Council, and Lynn Canal Conservation brought the case.

A delighted company president, Dennis E. Wheeler, was very appreciative of the work carried out by the Corps, the U.S. Forest Service, and the State of Alaska. And so he should be, this is a very significant outcome for Coeur.

CDE is currently trading up $0.04 at $5.46.

07 August 2006

Silver Wheaton Corporation: Update 05 August 2006

Isn’t it just terrific to be in the middle of this reporting season and see Silver Wheaton generate Second Quarter Earnings of US$25 Million, a jump of 274%. Where else can you read such pleasurable reports?

Vancouver based Silver Wheaton Corporation is going from strength to strength and in our humble opinion should form at least a small part of anyone’s investment portfolio.

If you think, as we do that silver is about to outperform the other precious metals be aware that Silver Wheaton is the only public mining company with 100% of its revenue coming from silver production. As a pure silver play it is as pure as you can get and as silver prices head north so will this mining stock.

The future expectations are for sales to reach about 15 million ounces in 2006, increasing to 20 million ounces by 2009 and thereafter.

Maybe we shouldn’t get so excited about this company but we do prefer unhedged miners, which are totally exposed to silver prices, and Silver Wheaton is just that.

This stock trades under the symbol of SLW on the TSX and on NYSE.

05 August 2006

Portfolio Update: 02 August 2006

Our silver portfolio gets off to a dream start.

We have now recommended five stocks during the month of July, so we are gently building our position in the precious metals market. All of our analysis, ideas, predictions, and thoughts, etc., are published on this website for your perusal and comment. A brief update of our portfolio follows:

1. Hecla Mining (HL) we paid $5.27 on the 5th July 2006 and it now stands at $5.80, a rise of 10.06%, which represents a terrific start.

2. Coeur d Alene (CDE) we paid $4.85 on the 7th July and it now stands at $5.33, a rise of 9.9%, another terrific advance. Record 2nd quarter earnings have given us a boost.

3. Silver Wheaton (SLW) we paid $9.41 on the 8th July 2006 and this stock is currently trading at $10.48, a rise of 11.37%.

4. Silver Standard resources Limited (SSRI) we acquired this stock for $19.98 on the 15th July 2006 and it now stands at $21.73, a rise of 8.76%.

5. Pan American Silver Corp (PAAS) we bought at $18.00 and it now stands at $20.49 a rise of 13.83%.

Assuming that we placed an equal amount of money into each of these mining stocks then the average gain is 10.78%.

A really pleasing start with the performance of our selection of five silver mining stocks. Our philosophy is to be bold and invest in those companies that will react to silver prices and make us money and quickly.

We are confident that our approach will pay dividends in terms of growth.

We welcome you to observe our portfolios performance and please feel free to make comparisons between us and other analysts. Our knowledge is shared with you for free so please enjoy and have a chuckle from time to time.

Always discuss your investments with your regulated financial advisor before putting your hard earned money on the table.

02 August 2006

Coeur’ 2nd Quarter record results

A cracking performance produces record results.

Coeur had reported record quarterly net income of $32.6 million, equivalent to $0.11 per. Silver cash production cost for continuing operations reduced to $3.03 per ounce, a 38% decline compared to last year with 3.5 million ounces of total consolidated silver production.

Gold production chips in with 29,097 ounces

At the time of writing this stock is 0.14 cents higher or about 2.93% in this trading session, standing $4.92, on NYSE.


01 August 2006

Silver Stocks: Coiled up and ready to rocket

Buy on the dips is conventional wisdom and usually very good advice; however, we believe an upward explosion in silver stocks is coiled up and ready to rocket.

Some of our silver stocks are a few points off the pace at the moment but that does not worry us. Any chosen entry point into the precious metals market will be accompanied by volatility, some violent swings will occur and you have to decide whether or not you want to ride them out, not an easy decision. The fluctuations around our stock picks are in our humble opinion, of a minor nature so we feel relatively comfortable with them.

What does interest us is the correlation between the movement of silver prices and the movement of silver stocks. If we take Coeur d Alene as an example and compare its progress with that of silver what do find?
The current silver price is $11.38 compared with silver in January of $9.0, a 26% increase in price. The current CDE price is $4.59 compared with silver in January of $4.0, an increase of 14%. This clearly demonstrates a lag between the two. We expect the silver stocks to make up this ground on silver prices in the very near future.

As a strategy, one could continue to purchase on an on-going basis as a form of accumulation. However our interpretation of the market is that we should have most of our cash invested by now, retaining a few bucks should the market present us with a major aberration.

Taking a quick look at the chart below of silver, we can see that the 50-day moving average is trending down towards the 200-day moving average. The next four weeks or so should be very interesting if this convergence continues, no doubt with many commentators saying get out, etc. We are not of that opinion and expect the upward trend that commenced after the recent sell off to continue.

Coeur d Alene is traded in Toronto under the symbol CDM and in New York under the symbol CDE.

28 July 2006

Eagle Plains Resources Limited


If you are a fan of the Joint Venture Business Model, then this aggressive junior explorer is well worth a look. ELP is a creator of projects with Copper Canyon Resources being its latest spin off.

Eagle Plains Resources Limited is a junior exploration company managed by an aggressive management team searching for minerals in Western Canada. The companies’ number one objective is to create shareholder value via acquisition and development of early-stage exploration projects.

At the time of writing this company controls over 35 gold, silver, uranium and base-metal projects with Inferred Resources standing at 38 million ounces silver, 1.2 billion pounds of lead, 1.3 billion pounds of zinc and 48 million pounds of molybdenum. This is not purely a silver play, but a silver play with the added kicker of substantial base metal opportunities and a management team possessing a keen eye for growth. Three projects of this nature are currently being advanced, exposing EPL to approximately $8 million in exploration over the near term.

As investors we see this as a vehicle offering multi-project opportunities. Some will no doubt prove to be fruitless, but the others will provide excellent exposure to both the base and precious metals markets. In such early stage investments the risks are higher than a straightforward investment in to one of the larger, better known companies. However, the leverage that can be generated through the involvement of a joint venture partner who brings the project from feasibility stage up to an operational mining company can be fairly dramatic.

Eagle Plains history shows that they have already completed agreements with BHP Billiton, Kennecott Utah Copper, and NovaGold, etc,

Eagle Plains trades on the TSX Venture exchange under the symbol of EPL and is debt free. The market value is around £25 million and their stock closed at $0.53 CAD on Friday. We were investors before the Cooper Canyon spin off so we now own those shares too. We will continue to accumulate at this level over the summer and be in position for is shaping up to be a terrific seasonal acceleration in base and silver prices towards Christmas.

Silver Standard Resources Inc.


Robert Quartermain the President of Silver Standard Resources Incorporated has referred to his companies stock as a Call Option in the silver market, Is he right?

This was during an interview on ROBtv on 08 March 2006, so lets take a look.

Silver Standard controls the world's largest published in-ground silver resources of any publicly traded silver company, listing their reserves as over 508 million ounces of silver. Inferred resources total over 446 million ounces of silver. We are talking about one billion ounces plus here.

Geographically, their portfolio of properties covers Argentina, Mexico, Chile, Peru, the United States and Australia.
We are comfortable with their strategy of aggressively acquiring high quality silver projects with defined resources in preparation of higher silver prices. As a company it has been around for about sixty years surviving the last down turn that lasted twenty years or so and acquiring projects on very advantageous terms.

Silver Standard is well financed, has no long-term debt, no significant environmental liabilities and no hedging or derivatives program. As investors we have difficulty with silver mining stocks that are currently hedging their portfolio as we believe the upside potential of silver is enormous. This stock is certainly exposed to any movement in the silver price so we must be prepared for volatility with Silver Standards stock price. Whether we will experience the effect of a Call Option remains to be seen however, but we believe it will be an exciting run before this Bull Market in silver ends with a dramatic conclusion.

Silver Standards stock is traded on the NASDAQ as SSRI and on the TSX as SSO

This company had a Market Capitalisation of £1.0 billion and its shares have fallen from a recent high of around $24.0.

From the chart we can see that Silver Standard has bounced from its 200 day moving average at approximately $16.0 level. We are expecting some consolidation before moving higher but in twelve months time this stock will look like what it is – a bargain at $19.98.


Pan American Silver Corp


Pan American Silver Corporation has a very simply put mission statement: to be the best vehicle for equity investors wanting real exposure to higher silver prices.
This company also plans to become the largest primary silver producer in the world with annual silver production growing to 25 million ounces per year by 2009.

Pan American currently produces more than 12.5 million ounces of silver annually from 6 producing mines in 3 countries. It is constructing two additional mines, one in Mexico that will be operational by the end of 2006 and one in Argentina that is expected to commence production in early 2008. They have also managed to keep a lid on costs and can produce silver for less then of less than $3.50/ounce. If we assume that silver bullion will stay above the $10.0 level then Pan American’s stock should do very well indeed.

Another factor, which influences our decision to invest, is whether or not the company has good exposure to the price movement of silver. Pan American has never hedged any of its silver production and does not intend to hedge any of its silver production in the future, which makes it an ideal investment for us. We are precious metals investors seeking generous stock price growth and as such are prepared to take a calculated risk with the view to reaping excellent rewards. Geographically this company operates in Peru, Mexico and Bolivia. The fashionable South American swing to socialism and possibly the nationalisation of some of its industries is a risk that needs to be constantly monitored.

Pan American stocks are traded on the NASDAQ under the symbol of PAAS and on the TSX in Toronto under the symbol of PAA. They are the only silver company to trade on the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index, known as the XAU and form part of the S&P/TSX Composite Index. If you consider yourself to be a hyper-investor you could try your luck trading Pan American on the Chicago Board Options Exchange. This we may cover later but options’ trading requires strict discipline and balls of steel, unless you enjoy sleepless nights.
Look out for Pan American Silver’s Q2 results on o2 August 2006 after market close, they should make exciting reading.

From the chart we can see that the stock has bounced from the $16.0 level and is now approaching the 200-day moving average. Some of you may prefer to wait until the stock has consolidated above this average, which is fine. However, we are adding to our holdings at this level.


16 July 2006